New Home Listings Move Closer to Pre Pandemic Levels as Inventory Slowly Recovers

The latest data from First American shows that the U.S. housing market is slowly working its way back toward normal, even as sales remain stuck at a subdued pace. Existing-home sales continue to hover around a 4-million-per-year rhythm, a level far below the peaks of the pandemic boom and well under pre-2020 averages. Buyers remain active, but affordability challenges, high prices, and elevated mortgage rates are still holding back the number of completed transactions. Even so, one positive trend is becoming clearer: new listings are gradually returning, giving buyers more fresh options than they’ve seen in several years.

This improvement is important because the 2018–2019 period represents one of the last stable benchmarks before the pandemic reshaped housing dynamics. At that time, supply, demand, and mortgage rates were more closely aligned. By comparing today’s new listing counts against those earlier years, analysts can better understand how far the market has progressed after several years of extreme volatility.

Across the country, the rise in new listings is helping support a slight pickup in sales. As Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, noted, when more owners choose to list their homes, it creates more opportunities for buyers and helps the market move toward better balance. To get a clearer picture of where the market stands, First American evaluated October 2025 sales and new listings across 75 major metros and compared them with each area’s own 2018–2019 averages. Instead of looking only at total inventory—which can rise simply because homes sit longer—this method focuses on the number of fresh listings coming onto the market, giving a more accurate sense of new supply.

The results show a wide range of market conditions. Some metros, including Pittsburgh, Knoxville, and Virginia Beach, are closest to their pre-pandemic norms for both sales and new listings. These pace-setter markets tend to be in more affordable regions of the country and appear to be leading the overall normalization trend. In other areas—especially across the Northeast and Midwest—demand is healthier than supply, meaning sales are nearer to normal levels than listings. Markets like Boston and Detroit fall into this category and could quickly shift if more homeowners decide to list.

In contrast, many southern metros are seeing more normal levels of new listings, but buyer demand hasn’t fully caught up. Areas like San Antonio and Tampa have improved supply but still face affordability challenges and economic factors that slow buyer activity. Meanwhile, much of the West remains stuck in neutral, with both sales and listings lagging well behind pre-pandemic norms. Metros such as Los Angeles and Portland continue to face affordability pressures, weaker population growth, and slower sales momentum.

Despite these regional differences, the nationwide improvement in new listings remains a positive sign. As supply gradually recovers, it helps reduce some of the pressure buyers have faced over the past three years. First American’s Existing-Home Sales Outlook for October reflects this shift, projecting a 0.3% month-over-month increase in sales and a 1.1% annual increase. A resilient economy, a slow easing of the rate-lock effect, and a small boost in purchasing power are all contributing to the modest rise.

While the housing market still faces significant affordability barriers and sales remain far below historic averages, the steady increase in new listings provides a foundation for future stability. If supply continues climbing through 2026—and mortgage rates gradually decline—the market could slowly move toward a healthier balance, offering more opportunities for both buyers and sellers after several years of severe constraint.

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